And I already know this will end up a multi-parter. I don’t seem to have gotten the hang of this send out a quick newletter business really.
Early on I tried to throw together a list of questions that I didn’t have answers to:
With the idea being to go through the exercise of pulling out some questions, rolling them around on the plate, and staring and poking at them to try to figure out what they’re about.
But with us being on the verge of WWIII and all, it seemed like a good time to go back and take some stock where we are1. Also, since then, I appear to have accumulated several poor souls as subscribers. Welcome! and please comment and contribute to my confusion! Lets go through those questions again. Next posts in this line will have some more to add (4 in my head so far, lets see where we are after rehashing the old stuff):
Are the vaccines safe (or safe enough) or not?
Back in early September I was much closer to that fence than I am now. I did not know anyone that had trouble with the jabs and there was a mandate dagger fresh at my throat. That dagger may be temporarily sheathed, but is still present.
A lot of what I’ve posted on this substack involves trying to get a handle on an answer to this question, but ultimately I would say I have a few things by now that pretty well illustrate to me where the answer is headed.
The first is very simple. Counts of reports and counts of fatalities by vaccine type in VAERS2. You can argue about the the validity of VAERS, you can argue about over/under reporting in VAERS, but if you compare VAERS to VAERS for different vaccines, you eliminate a lot of those sorts of arguments. Then you should be comparing whatever that measurement is internally within the VAERS system consistently between COVID19 vaccines and the others we used to know3 as safe.
[stops writing, downloads latest data and tallies this up]
Doing this, you find entries attributed to COVID19 completely obliterate all others. Here are the top 10 vaccines by report count (all, fatal or not, all conditions), pulled out of VAERS data as of March 25, 20224. This is for years 2021 and 2022 so far:
Here is the top 10 — this time by by number of fatalities in VAERS for 2021 and 2022. Above and below are only domestic (US) counts by the way5:
How anybody can see this (better question is who even knows this? Who even has been allowed to know this?) and think the thing is safe…
So the next bit is getting at the other side of this question: “safe enough”. That suggests going to look at how well the jabs do the job. If it By God smacks covid down to oblivion and really does free us from this mess, then maybe even the damage done is worth it.
With two post vaccination waves in the US and continued warnings of the next one, more than a year post deployment, can anybody honestly say they did their job?
So far the clearest picture that I’ve come up with that it might NOT be effective enough to warrant the risk, is out of looking at Missouri breakthrough data6:
If anything it looks like they’re making things worse? Lets go for booster 2 and see if we can push that black line all the way to zero? Oh wait — you wanted Ev to be 100%?
I should also say in terms of personal anecdotal evidence…
I have fortunately lost nobody in my sphere of family/friends/contacts to COVID-19.
One with severe (hospitalized) symptoms from which they’ve recovered.
It also might be argued that his wife essentially kidnapping him out of the hospital to be treated at home could be a large part why he is still with us.
Many I know in the US at least, can tell a “oh yeah that week sucked” kind of covid story. As they can with Flu and colds.
For many the inconvenience of quarantine vastly outweighed that of the disease.
I HAVE had relatives and neighbors who
Needed emergency cataract surgery (both eyes at once with no prior issues) within weeks of the second injection.
Lost the use of both arms for a week, one (the injection arm) for several weeks following the second injection (onset within a day of second shot).
Otherwise healthy individual suddenly and surprisingly passing due to an apparent stroke in their sleep. Did though have strange rashes that would flare up unpredictably on the injection arm.
Otherwise healthy, active but older individual now requiring considerable help for yard chores post injection. Husband transported to ER with heart attack (fortunately survived, but still quite frail after a year) following the second shot (I think that night).
So even my personal observational statistics skews the argument very much toward more risk than benefit. I’m sorry. Just not seeing it. I’m not claiming I’ve answered this question, but like I say I’m much (to some power) farther from that fence than I was in September.
What are the long term effects of the vaccines we have to worry about?
Obviously as time passes we start to have a better handle on this than we did 6 months ago. The picture does not look really good here either. We’ve been allowed publicly to know about myocarditis to some extent, but a very worrying wider picture is also starting to develop behind the scenes.
That it is “behind the scenes” and very much requiring herculean efforts from scientists pushed to the fringe and/or unemployment for asking important questions is absolutely reason for pause here too.
Some pieces of this picture:
Lots of concerns from Geert Vanden Bossche on immunosuppression
Dr Jessica Rose’s observation that VAERS reports are NOT decreasing
And more. Good luck google searching this topic. I can’t say I have a complete picture of this, I can’t say ANYBODY has a complete picture of this (strictly speaking you cannot without the requisite time having passed), but there are definitely pieces popping out from behind the curtain that should cause alarm.
There are also the vaccine amplified pandemic progression concerns here (back to GVB7), political and economic concerns — and honestly if/as things further degrade do the unvaccinated like myself become scapegoated and rounded up…
To what extent are the COVID disease fatalities themselves a direct mapping of the “about to die anyway” population?
Severity of the disease is clearly age dependent8. It increases by multiple orders of magnitude in the older population. It is also a fact that older people, by their very nature of being the “older people”, are the ones most likely to leave us. You work your whole life to become a part of the “older people” statistic and find out once you get there the life expectancy of your peers absolutely sucks.
I have not yet though tried to do a deep all causes sort of dive based on past years fatality numbers. My guess having started to read other analyses of this, that there are likely incentives toward applying a label on someone to receive federal pandemic funds could lean things towards a disease looking more severe than it might actually be. Still many a to-do on this question though.
What exactly BTW, is the definition of “misinformation”?
Here the government provides. I will say this has finally been answered for us9! I therefore strive in this to provide malinformation with the intent that comes with misinformation as much as possible in this substack.
More in the next post — my next question ended up putting me into substack’s pink email length warning zone…
And for that matter having the last two states’ breakthrough data I’ve looked at come out mostly as a One Eye’d Back Flipping ClusterF*ck™ of inconsistency, I’m needing a break from that thread a bit. Not gonna go there yet but to go there, one of them has a -300% efficacy in one week, I’m pretty sure because they pushed reports into one week inconsistently between vaxxed and unvaxxed… So sometimes you gotta pull your arm back out of the backend of the cow and ask yourself just what the Hell are you doing there in the first place…
https://vaers.hhs.gov/index.html
There is SO much damage done to my confidence in ANY vaccine at this point…
https://vaers.hhs.gov/data/datasets.html?
Oh — and adept readers of this substack will ask if the 10k shown below includes breakthrough cases or not. It does — I haven’t tried to separate that out here. Presumably the others also include fatalities from breakthroughs of those vaccines? Actually good question, though my gut says its small, since they (with the exception of flu?) were not applied during a raging pandemic. Nevertheless I’d be fine with dividing that by two to get the number of vaccine adverse effect fatalities to compare here — still we’re looking at ~5000 deaths vs the runner up (which I suppose is all vaccines where they didn’t enter which type… including possibly COVID19?) of 173. Almost 2 orders of magnitude. Certainly more than 2 orders of magnitude greater than the runner up named vaccine, FLU4, at 36 fatalities. For what I was talking about with breakthrough data maybe see:
I actually will want to revisit this post omicron now that I think of it.
https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/predictions-gvb-on-evolution-c-19-pandemic
Even the CDC can’t get away with showing some of this: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/investigations-discovery/hospitalization-death-by-age.html. The CDC though appears to have trouble with non-integer numbers, as they apparently are only able to represent the death and hospitalization rates for children as “<1x”. How unfortunate not to have a real number there when we’re advocating vaccines on those age groups.
https://www.cisa.gov/mdm